How Far Does a Market Shock Travel?
Two market events, one identification problem, and a block-Hawkes experiment.
The Yen Broke. What Actually Moved Onchain?
First came risk transfer. Then exposure grew—mostly among traders already there.
Measuring a Commodity Shock in Tokenized Markets with a Rust CLI
On 8 July 2026, renewed U.S.–Iran escalation coincided with opposite moves in two commodity benchmarks: spot gold fell 0.52%, while front-month WTI settled 4...
Markets Are Full of Roads. That Doesn't Mean Capital Takes Them.
Five Solana wrappers on one company, one issuer-designated conversion route, and nine weeks of swap-level flow through it. Public data only, no position taken.
What Can a Landed Solana Transaction Actually Prove About DeFi Execution?
- I reconstructed execution provenance for all 6,695 successfully landed rows in a frozen SPYx × OKX router candidate set. Under the pre-frozen conservative ...